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Eagle Eye Issue 10 (2022)

RUSSIA-UKRAINE: Minsk Agreements May Influence Negotiations with Turkey Likely to Act as Mediator

Summary: The Russian war with Ukraine could lead to Ankara mediating the conflict due to pressure from NATO. Former Minsk Agreements will likely act as a...

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Eagle Eye Issue 10 (2022)

KAZAKHSTAN: Trade Agreements with Tehran Likely to Ease Economic Tensions

Summary: Nur-Sultan addressed increased trade partnership with Tehran as a foreign policy priority. Increased trade agreements will likely help ease Nur-Sultan’s economic crisis and push economic...

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Eagle Eye Issue 10 (2022)

AFGHANISTAN-PAKISTAN: Tension Likely to Increase Amid Fears of Terrorist Groups

Summary: Pakistani Ambassador Mansoor Ahmad Khan has expressed concerns over growing foreign terrorist groups in Afghanistan. The growth of such groups will likely create unstable relations...

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Eagle Eye Issue 10 (2022)

UKRAINE: Cyber Warfare Likely to Lessen Ukrainian Defense Capabilities

Summary: The ongoing Russian cyberattacks targeting Ukraine likely represent an attempt to undermine defense efforts amid Moscow’s invasion. Development: On 23 February, a wave of denial-of-service attacks...

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Eagle Eye Issue 10 (2022)

HAITI: Violence and Political Crisis Likely to Increase United Nations Presence

Summary: The socioeconomic and political crisis in Haiti continues to escalate with no reform plan in place and no control over violent gangs. This likely will...

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Eagle Eye Issue 10 (2022)

CHINA: Likely to Use Ukraine Conflict to Establish Aerial Dominance Over Taiwan

Summary: Beijing is most likely performing aerial maneuvers over Taiwan and the Taiwan Strait to stretch Taiwan’s Air Force in preparation for heightened military presence...

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Eagle Eye Uncategorized Issue 10 (2022)

PHILIPPINES: Presidential Election May Cause Tension with Beijing

Summary: Former Filipino Senator Ferdinand Marcos Jr. will almost certainly win the presidential election. If elected, Marcos may deploy the navy in the South China Sea...

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Eagle Eye Issue 9 (2022)

RUSSIA: Belarus Joint Military Drills on Ukraine Likely Indicates Imminent Action 

Summary: Following the recent announcement of military exercises conducted alongside Belarus and the slow evacuation of the Russian Embassy in Kyiv, Russian President Vladimir Putin...

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Eagle Eye Issue 9 (2022)

BURKINA FASO: Military Coup May Trigger Regional Ripple Effect 

Summary: The initial success of the coup in Burkina Faso may increase the likelihood of additional coups in the region.   Development: On 24 January, a...

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Eagle Eye Issue 9 (2022)

NORTH KOREA: Unfreezing ICBM Testing Unlikely Due to Past Launches 

Summary: Pyongyang probably will not lift the temporary ban on testing intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) due to the harsh reaction by the international community the...

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