LEBANON: Record Low Economy and Loss of UN Vote Likely to Speed up Elections
Summary: The loss in value of the Lebanese Pound, UN vote losses, and continued vacancy in the president’s position may induce urgency in the Lebanese...
BURKINA FASO: Troop Removal Almost Certainly Increases Insurgent Violence
Summary: Ouagadougou’s end to its military accord with Paris likely leaves Burkina Faso open for insurgents to cause violence and seize territory. Development: On 21...
CHINA: Population Decrease to Likely Cause Global Economic Decline
Summary: Recent findings show Beijing’s population continues to decrease as the death rate exceeds the birth rate, most likely causing damage to the world economy....
IRAN: Purchase of Sukoi-35 Fighters Likely to Herald More Russian Military Imports
Summary: Tehran purchased an unknown number of Sukhoi Su-35 fighter jets, alongside other military equipment from Moscow. Tehran likely plans to increase the technological prowess...
RUSSIA: Withdrawal of Troop from Ukraine Likely Within Next Year
Summary: Moscow will likely withdraw its troops from Ukraine within the next year. Due to a lack of both external and internal support for the...
HAITI: Cholera’s Potential Spread Will Likely Lead to International Intervention
Summary: The recent cholera outbreak exacerbated by civil unrest will likely lead to interna-tional intervention to quell its spread and violence threatening the security of...
SYRIA: Ankara’s Response to Istanbul Will Almost Certainly Lead to Ground Incursion
Summary: Ankara assigning blame for a bombing attack in Istanbul on the Kurdish Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria will almost certainly lead to...
IRAQ: Government Handling of Drought Will Likely Increase Distrust with Nationals
Summary: The water crisis, now ravaging the entire country for a third straight year, resulted in the displacement of thousands, with a likely estimation of...
RUSSIA: Arms Deal Discussion Will Likely Lead to Strong Military Ally in North Africa
Summary: Moscow and Algiers discussed plans for the purchase of military equipment from Moscow. This will likely enhance Algiers’s military capabilities and create a key...
IRAN: Acquisition of Stinger Missile Likely to Increase Lethality of Shahed-136 Drones
Summary: Moscow traded millions of dollars and Western munitions in Ukraine probably as payment for more Iranian drones. Tehran likely wanted the delivery of munitions...