CHINA: Nuclear Buildup Likely Indicates an Effort to Intimidate and Secure Claims
Summary: Although Beijing explained the move as a way to deter future conflict, it will likely use the accelerated buildup of nuclear weapons as an intimidation...
RUSSIA: Ukraine Conflict Will Likely DamageIntelligence Capabilities
Summary: Moscow’s intelligence capabilities on NATO will almost certainly decline as a result of recent diplomatic expulsions and internal arrests. Russian President Vladimir Putin reportedly blamed...
CHINA: Beijing Unlikely to Contribute Military Aid to Moscow
Summary: Beijing will likely continue to offer Moscow an economic lifeline to avoid sanctions due to the “No Limits” friendship between the two nations. However, Beijing...
SOUTH AFRICA: Deadly Storm Likely to Encourage Stronger Contingency Responses
Summary: Pretoria’s experience with the COVID-19 pandemic and now the effects of one of the deadliest storms on record will almost certainly result in aggressive contingency...
UKRAINE: Moscow’s Anticipated Capture of Mariupol Likely to Halt Peace Talks
Summary: The Russia-Ukraine conflict places Mariupol on the verge of total Russian control. The capture of Mariupol likely poses a threat to Ukrainian combatants within the city....
NORTH KOREA: Key Missile Developments Likely Signal Future Nuclear Weapons Tests
Summary: Pyongyang seems likely to test nuclear weapons in the near future in conjunction with its rapidly advancing missile program. Pyongyang possesses advanced missile capabilities, now...
AFRICA: Prolonged War in Ukraine Likely to Affect Food Supply in African Nations
Summary: Sustained conflict in Ukraine and expanded sanctions against Moscow will likely exacerbate hunger issues in African nations. Development: On 16 March, the United Nations released...
ISRAEL-IRAN: Cyber Activities Likely Indicates Growing Cyber Conflict
Summary: The activities of Jerusalem and Tehran’s cyber programs likely indicate a growing cyber conflict. The secretive nature of Jerusalem’s cyber program coupled with previously destructive...
RUSSIA: Hesitancy to Scale Back Despite Peace Talks Will Likely Prolong Conflict
Summary: Since the beginning of the Russian-Ukraine crisis, government officials have attempted to negotiate an end to the relentless invasion of Ukraine. Russian attacks have not...
LEBANON: Seized Assets May Lead to Increased Stability and Bring Justice for National Bank
Summary: The European Union (EU) seized $130 million in assets that associate with corrupt bank officials in Lebanon. This will likely start a domino effect to...